12 Aug · 02:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Tkocz
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1504
FormWWWLW
62%
38%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H27-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-10)