12 Aug · 01:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1448
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)