12 Aug · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1616
FormWLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1399
FormWLWLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H33-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-4)