12 Aug · 01:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1675
FormLWWWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Tkaczyk
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1223
FormLLLWL
88%
12%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 69% (49)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~71 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
31%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+452
H2H30-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+452)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-8)