12 Aug · 02:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1376
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brunner
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1420
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)