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Ratings & Predictions
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TT Elite Series predictions
12 Aug · 01:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKacper Kwiatkowski
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1386
3-2Final setsKwiatkowski won
KRKazimierz Rybak
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1219
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwiatkowski at 64%. The actual result was Kacper Kwiatkowski 3-2 the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Kwiatkowski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 76.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Kwiatkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Kwiatkowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Kwiatkowski is favoured to win, below means Kazimierz Rybak.

Kacper Kwiatkowskipre 69% → final 98%
Kazimierz Rybak
Biggest swing 60 ptsKwiatkowski recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games