12 Aug · 06:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1512
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1514
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.