12 Aug · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1215
FormLLLLL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1601
FormWWLWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~70 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+386
H2H23-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+386)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-6)