12 Aug · 06:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1388
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sulkowski
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1387
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.