12 Aug · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1459
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1573
FormWWWWL
38%
62%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H35-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-32)