12 Aug · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1523
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Balcerzak
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1629
FormWWWLL
39%
61%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)