12 Aug · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1481
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Michalik
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1215
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H23-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-7)