12 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1388
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1462
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H20-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)