12 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1603
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1418
FormLWLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H22-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-11)