12 Aug · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Balcerzak
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1609
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H17-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-9)