12 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1399
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1462
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)