12 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1437
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1603
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H38-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-35)