12 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1557
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)