12 Aug · 11:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1414
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1548
FormLLWLL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H17-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-9)