12 Aug · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1524
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Smolka
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1391
FormWLLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H21-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-15)