12 Aug · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1432
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Juzek
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1405
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.