12 Aug · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1389
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
39%
61%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H19-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-14)