12 Aug · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Smolka
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1422
FormWWLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)