12 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1696
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1700
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H34-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.