12 Aug · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1610
FormWLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1416
FormLLLWL
70%
30%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H39-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-35)