12 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1528
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kolek
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1600
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)