12 Aug · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1416
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1525
FormLLLLL
38%
62%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)