12 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1471
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1528
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H12-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)