12 Aug · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1413
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Smolka
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)