12 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1600
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H13-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)