12 Aug · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1696
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1782
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H13-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)