12 Aug · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1600
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kolek
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1484
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+116
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)