12 Aug · 15:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1633
FormLLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1778
FormLWWWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)