12 Aug · 16:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
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🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1713
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Daniel
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1591
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Balcerzak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H31-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-8)