12 Aug · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1713
FormWWLLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)