12 Aug · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Juzek
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1413
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.