12 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1422
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Juzek
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 33% · 3.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H25-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.