12 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1693
FormWLLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)