12 Aug · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1413
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1523
FormLWLLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)