12 Aug · 19:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1704
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1727
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H35-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.