12 Aug · 19:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1429
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Zemla
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1561
FormLWLWL
36%
64%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)