12 Aug · 19:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1538
FormLLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1746
FormWWWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)