12 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1704
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1746
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wloczko
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H14-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)