Michal Machelski vs Kacper Kwiatkowski — TT Elite Series

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12 Aug · 19:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Michal Machelski

ELO 1438

2-3Final setsKwiatkowski won

🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski

ELO 1391

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Machelski at 64%. The actual result was Kacper Kwiatkowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

Michal Machelski — profile →Kacper Kwiatkowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Machelski favoured — closing 1.52

Upset

Total 77.5

105 points played

Over

Set handicap

Michal Machelski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Machelski −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Kwiatkowski.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 62% → final 6%

Kacper Kwiatkowski ▼

Biggest swing 93 ptsKwiatkowski recovered from 1%72 points · 5 games