12 Aug · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1714
FormWWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Warzecha
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1438
FormLLWWW
77%
23%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+276
H2H65-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+276)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-13)