13 Aug · 00:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1493
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Delikatny
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1524
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Delikatny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.