13 Aug · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1705
FormLWWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Warzecha
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLLW
80%
20%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~71 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+318
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+318)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)