13 Aug · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1371
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Trela
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1308
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)