Adrian Fabis vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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12 Aug · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Adrian Fabis

ELO 1306

0-3Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1367

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 0-3 — the pick was correct.

Adrian Fabis — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Adrian Fabis favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 77.5

56 points played

Under

Set handicap

Adrian Fabis −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Adrian Fabis −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Fabis is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Adrian Fabispre 44% → final 89%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsFabis recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games