13 Aug · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1389
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1444
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)